"Barrack Obama became the 44th U.S. President last night in a practical landslide victory. Unfortunately, the stock market melted down on fears regarding his economic leadership skills and true ability to navigate the country."
Not being too political, but the stock market really does not care who is President. People asked me about my views on the election and I told them all that since the economy was slowing, the incumbent party would not be reelected. Proof, see 2000, 1992, 1980, 1968. As for possible economic policies like higher taxes and spending, well it seems a lot of the recent weakness in the market began once the polls started to reflect an Obama win.
My main concern in this matter, is whether or not we will have to continue financing a buildup in the national security budget. Although the dollar has had a pretty good rally lately, I would not be surprised to see a test of the 72 level on the DX (about 15% decline). This is bullish for gold, bearish for bonds, and neutral for stocks.
"The man who can grin, when his ship comes in, and he's got the stock market beat. But the man who is worthwhile, is the man who can smile when his pants are too tight in the seat" - Judge Smails
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Wednesday, May 2, 2007
I'll Be Back
News flash. Our presence in Iraq has done nothing to stem the infighting between the Sunni and Shiite. Palestinian factions threatening to advance their cause thru suicide bombers in Israel. Gasoline prices firmly over $3.00 at the pump. Inflation ahead of the Fed "comfort zone". GDP showing slower growth prospects. The dollar falling against all other major currencies. The DJIA making new highs. Seems like old times.
Watch dollar/yen at the 120 level. A major battle is brewing here and will give direction as to global liquidity and risk tolerance.
Watch dollar/yen at the 120 level. A major battle is brewing here and will give direction as to global liquidity and risk tolerance.
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