Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

"All the Gold in California...

...is in a bank in the middle of Beverly Hills, in somebody elses name." Austinite Larry Gatlin.

A once infamous bank robber was asked why he robbed banks. His answer, that's where the money is. In this market, you have to go where the money is. So far that has been on the short side. Looking at a slew of charts today, I can't find anything that looks positive. The one chart that is really sticking out is Gold. About 18 months ago, we broke out of a $730-$660 trading range and made new highs at $1000. So far with every other asset making new lows, this has held. Even with the dollar index on a tear from 75 to 88, the shiny metal seems to have support. GLD, the gold future ETF, made a low recently at 66. Today it settled at 70. A good trade here would be to sell some near month put spreads to finance later dated out of the money calls. I believe we can see GLD back in triple digits in a years time.

By the way, nobody is thinking about the Titans going 19-0. No respect.

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

I Love You Just the Way You Are

Pretty normal post expiration Monday retrace. After a 120 pt move on the SPX, we do need a little breather to take care of some overbought indicators. Really like the VIX not moving on this low volume downdraft. We should see a close above 1265 in the Dec futures to really knock the socks off of the shorts.

Good arguments made by Merrill's Rich Bernstein on why the banks are close to a bottom but not quite their yet. I think once we see the Treasury's plan on mortgage bonds, the financials will skyrocket. Playing the range right now in the XLF (19-23). A close above this will start a new bull run.

Getting down to the wire for the Mets. The Brett Favre acquisition is going as I thought for the Jets. Spend a lot of money on past talent, and you get a mediocre offense.