Today's Tom Sawyer gets high on you.....

Seeing a lot of bullish confirmation out there. The hold of 818 SPX on last weeks dip set up for that nice rally. 952 is the next inflection point on the way to some August levels (1125-1175). Volatility still pumped so use that to your advantage when using options.

My background as a trader lets me look at certain situations and break them down into simple risk reward equations. Take a look at the TIPs market. They are at an alltime low vs. Treasuries. With the government backing, you have a risk free call on the CPI index while getting paid CD like returns. Great idea for the cashlike part of your portfolio.

Merger arbs are still running scared. BUD closed with $1.48 spread remaining on the table. Show that the playas have zero bullets. Allows the smaller fish to get some nice trades.

Thankful that College Hoops is here. That Curry kid on Davidson is pretty fun to watch.

Moon Shot

I will say this in print, we will see new highs in the market by July expiration. Why is this? Successful retest of the January lows followed by 3 300point up days in a month. All this converging with a 40 week cycle low in the Elliot wave cycle and bearish sentiment at all time highs. If you add that to all the liquidity added by the Fed, you have a recipe for a quick run to the upside. The sell in May crowd is short right now and will create demand quickly for stocks.

Ah, Final Four, first weekend of MLB, it couldn't get much better than this.